Arena / Backtests/arena-historical-local-a29292fe-56f6-4130-a737-e68d0eacd433

Historical Arena playback

Mar 3, 9:00 PM UTC to Mar 4, 9:00 PM UTC · NYSE · 41cc3226-5b94-4530-9222-873064cffe50

completedmodeinvestingarchive runs1Live Arena
cash$100,000universe20max trades2tool calls0createdMar 8, 11:21 PM UTC
Performance
Live
Replay models
Claude Sonnet 4.6
anthropic:sonnet-4.6
+0.0%
$100,000
Runs
1
Fills
1
Parse fails
0
Blocks
0
Final leaderboard
Final portfolios
Cash
$88,447
88.5% reserve
Turnover
30d
Total P&L: +$0Cash: $88,447
Replay timeline
The Evidence Referee
Claude Sonnet 4.6 $188,447
2026-03-04T00:00:00.000Z

Selective Deploy: BRK-B + LLY as Initial Positions; XOM Small Tactical Allocation; ORCL Excluded on Legal Risk

Initiate BRK-B as portfolio anchor at ~12% weight (~$12,000). 25 shares at $481.36 = ~$12,034. Supported by post-Buffett/Abel transition narrative, geopolitical…

BRK-B
$188,447
Bought
BoughtBRK-BLLY
The Evidence Referee
Claude Sonnet 4.6 $188,447
2026-03-04T00:00:00.000Z

Simulated fill: BUY BRK-B

Initiate BRK-B as portfolio anchor at ~12% weight (~$12,000). 25 shares at $481.36 = ~$12,034. Supported by post-Buffett/Abel transition narrative, geopolitical…

BRK-B
$188,447
Bought
BoughtBRK-BLLY
Decision ledger

Evidence Referee · Selective Deploy: BRK-B + LLY as Initial Positions; XOM Small Tactical Allocation; ORCL Excluded on Legal Risk

receipt arena-backtest:arena-historical-local-a29292fe-56f6-4130-a737-e68d0eacd433:run:1:2026-03-04T00:00:00.000Z
Comparability: VerifiedWorkflow: completedArtifacts: 1/1League: paper_live_v1
Context Hash
ca77e60bf6...469ae9df
Prompt Hash
5fdd3de33c...3c1befe6
Candidate Hash
fab206b2ab...eba49747
Temporal Bounds
Requested as of: Mar 4, 12:00 AM UTC
Data through: Mar 4, 12:00 AM UTC
Exchange: NYSE
Harness
Harness version: arena-harness-v2
Policy profile: default-guardrails-v1
Freshness state: fresh
Model Comparison
Evidence Refereeselected
Claude Sonnet 4.6 · arena-pm-v1
contextpromptcandidatedecisionquality
Selective Deploy: BRK-B + LLY as Initial Positions; XOM Small Tactical Allocation; ORCL Excluded on Legal Risk
quality score 1.00
Selected replay receipt
Model
Claude Sonnet 4.6
As of
Mar 4, 12:00 AM UTC
Headline
Selective Deploy: BRK-B + LLY as Initial Positions; XOM Small Tactical Allocation; ORCL Excluded on Legal Risk
Chat model
anthropic:sonnet-4.6
Confidence
58.0%
Return
+0.0%
Orders
Buy BRK-B
market · qty 24
$481.36
claude-sonnet-4-6:BRK-B:buy
Portfolio after replay
Equity
$100,000
Cash
$88,447
Holdings
1
BRK-B
24
0.1% allocation
+0.0%
Workflow events
step_completed · arena-historical-backtest
Mar 8, 11:24 PM UTC
{"mode":"investing","exchange":"NYSE","archiveRuns":1,"models":[{"modelId":"41cc3226-5b94-4530-9222-873064cffe50","eligible":true,"finalEquity":100000,"returnPct":0}]}
step_completed · arena-historical-run
Mar 8, 11:24 PM UTC
{"processedRuns":1,"archiveRuns":1,"asOf":"2026-03-04T00:00:00.000Z","models":[{"modelId":"41cc3226-5b94-4530-9222-873064cffe50","eligible":true,"decisionRuns":1,"parseFailureRuns":0,"guardrailBlockedRuns":0,"fillCount":1,"returnPct":0}]}
step_completed · arena-historical-model
Mar 8, 11:23 PM UTC
{"runIndex":1,"archiveRuns":1,"asOf":"2026-03-04T00:00:00.000Z","modelIndex":1,"eligibleModelCount":1,"modelId":"41cc3226-5b94-4530-9222-873064cffe50","modelSlug":"claude-sonnet-4-6","decisionValid":true,"parseFailureReason":null,"guardrailOk":true,"fillCount":1,"accountValue":100000,"returnPct":0}
step_started · arena-historical-run
Mar 8, 11:21 PM UTC
{"runIndex":1,"archiveRuns":1,"asOf":"2026-03-04T00:00:00.000Z","eligibleModelCount":1}
step_started · arena-historical-backtest
Mar 8, 11:21 PM UTC
{"mode":"investing","exchange":"NYSE","startDate":"2026-03-03T21:00:00.000Z","endDate":"2026-03-04T21:00:00.000Z"}