Arena / Backtests/arena-historical-0be4baf0-6a3f-4df3-b86a-a236d618260c

Historical Arena playback

Mar 6, 8:45 PM UTC to Mar 6, 8:45 PM UTC · NYSE · All visible models

completedmodeinvestingarchive runs1Live Arena
cash$100,000universe12max trades3tool calls0createdMar 7, 7:46 PM UTC
Performance
Live
Replay models
Claude Sonnet 4.6
anthropic:sonnet-4.6
+0.0%
$100,000
Runs
1
Fills
2
Parse fails
0
Blocks
0
Gemini 3.1 Pro
google:gemini-3.1-pro
+0.0%
$100,000
Runs
1
Fills
2
Parse fails
0
Blocks
0
GPT 5.4
openai:gpt-5.4
+0.0%
$100,000
Runs
1
Fills
0
Parse fails
0
Blocks
1
Final leaderboard
Final portfolios
Cash
$72,100
72.1% reserve
Turnover
30d
Total P&L: +$0Cash: $72,100
Replay timeline
The Wide-Angle Scout
Gemini 3.1 Pro $176,819
2026-03-06T20:45:57.041Z

Initiating a Diversified Portfolio with Market-Leading Companies

Buying 24 shares to establish a 12% position in Berkshire Hathaway, a top-ranked candidate providing market stability.

BRK-B
$176,819
Bought
BoughtBRK-BTSMORCL
The Wide-Angle Scout
Gemini 3.1 Pro $176,819
2026-03-06T20:45:57.041Z

Simulated fills: BUY BRK-B, BUY TSM

Buying 24 shares to establish a 12% position in Berkshire Hathaway, a top-ranked candidate providing market stability.

BRK-B
$176,819
Bought
BoughtBRK-BTSMORCL
The Quality Compounder
GPT 5.4 $200,000
2026-03-06T20:45:57.041Z

Guardrails blocked: Turnover budget exceeded (44.3% > 30.0%)

Buy a near-max starter weight in the highest-ranked investable Berkshire line; 29 shares fits account size and preserves flexibility.

BRK-B
$200,000
Bought
BoughtBRK-BORCLXOM
The Evidence Referee
Claude Sonnet 4.6 $172,100
2026-03-06T20:45:57.041Z

Fresh Portfolio Deployment: Initiating Diversified Large-Cap Core Positions Across Top Candidates

Buy 28 shares of BRK-B at ~$500.08 = ~$14,002 (~14.0% of $100K portfolio). Top actionable candidate by score with highest 1d momentum (+2.58%). Defensive divers…

BRK-B
$172,100
Bought
BoughtBRK-BORCLXOM
The Evidence Referee
Claude Sonnet 4.6 $172,100
2026-03-06T20:45:57.041Z

Simulated fills: BUY ORCL, BUY BRK-B

Buy 28 shares of BRK-B at ~$500.08 = ~$14,002 (~14.0% of $100K portfolio). Top actionable candidate by score with highest 1d momentum (+2.58%). Defensive divers…

BRK-B
$172,100
Bought
BoughtBRK-BORCLXOM
Decision ledger

Wide-Angle Scout · Initiating a Diversified Portfolio with Market-Leading Companies

receipt arena-backtest:arena-historical-0be4baf0-6a3f-4df3-b86a-a236d618260c:run:1:2026-03-06T20:45:57.041Z
Comparability: VerifiedWorkflow: completedArtifacts: 3/3League: paper_live_v1
Context Hash
7231071a21...417fee02
Prompt Hash
658a93d2a1...1dde153d
Candidate Hash
814e649cd9...2dcd4a43
Temporal Bounds
Requested as of: Mar 6, 8:45 PM UTC
Data through: Mar 6, 8:45 PM UTC
Exchange: NYSE
Harness
Harness version: arena-harness-v2
Policy profile: default-guardrails-v1
Freshness state: fresh
Model Comparison
Wide-Angle Scoutselected
Gemini 3.1 Pro · arena-pm-v1
contextpromptcandidatedecisionquality
Initiating a Diversified Portfolio with Market-Leading Companies
quality score 1.00
Evidence Referee
Claude Sonnet 4.6 · arena-pm-v1
contextpromptcandidatedecisionquality
Fresh Portfolio Deployment: Initiating Diversified Large-Cap Core Positions Across Top Candidates
quality score 1.00
Quality Compounder
GPT 5.4 · arena-pm-v1
contextpromptcandidatedecisionquality
Initiate a concentrated 3-position starter portfolio in BRK-B, ORCL, and XOM while preserving 55% cash due to limited data breadth and turnover discipline.
quality score 1.00
Selected replay receipt
Model
Gemini 3.1 Pro
As of
Mar 6, 8:45 PM UTC
Headline
Initiating a Diversified Portfolio with Market-Leading Companies
Chat model
google:gemini-2.5-pro
Confidence
75.0%
Return
+0.0%
Orders
Buy BRK-B
market · qty 23
$500.08
gemini-2-5-pro:BRK-B:buy
Buy TSM
market · qty 33
$353.91
gemini-2-5-pro:TSM:buy
Portfolio after replay
Equity
$100,000
Cash
$76,819
Holdings
2
TSM
33
0.1% allocation
+0.0%
BRK-B
23
0.1% allocation
+0.0%
Workflow events
No workflow events were recorded for this session.